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beware of people who say: "absolutely" a lot...
Money Weather
the classic DSGE economic models did a pretty bad job of anticipating the crash, in part because they assumed a return to some form of market equilibrium. fans of agent-based modeling (ABM), which have lots of autonomous agents following simple behavioural rules and adapting to their environment, think it could do a better job of simulating the effects of crashes, herd-like behaviour and other non-linear phenomena that characterised recent events.

Made by Lago di Garda, with thanks to Nadia.
The Economist Newspaper, London
2010

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in his youth Jac was trapped behind the Iron Curtain, ever since he likes to change country every few months - just to remind himself that's over.

this is my original site (since the year 2000) , which will remain online until the new site is fully functional, see also Jac's current big project.
most pages here are working - will fix others when i can... 26 Sep 2025
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